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Aki Henka Summary by Lon Howard |
two
henka each – those being ozeki Hakuho and sekiwake Kotomitsuki.
It is notable that Hakuho’s two henka – both winners – occurred on days
4 and 5, which was
after his reported knee injury and before he had eliminated himself
from the tsunatori running. Kotomitsuki’s two henka were also in
a winning effort. The only other rikishi who with two
henka was another injury-ridden on-the-juryo-bubble rikishi, Yoshikaze,
who only won one of his henka bouts. The henka highlight of the Aki basho though was provided by the one rikishi who has been lauded for his refusal to henka. M6 Ama was still tied with yokozuna Asashoryu for the yusho lead on day 11 when he met komusubi Kisenosato. It shocked the audience – as well as Kisenosato – when he didn’t stay squared off at the tachiai. His leap to the side worked just as planned, as Kise’s lunge at the air threw himself off balance, and Ama’s “gentle” following shove quickly drove him out. The palpable buzz floating though the crowd clearly upset the slender Mongolian, who apologized to the fans later in the day. The 14-0 yes vote on Ama’s act was the only unanimous henka receiving at least 10 votes. The list of top ten henka perpetrators has no new members this time because so many men were tied for the bottom spots after Nagoya. At least the new list has a clear separation, and here it is, once again, covering the eight basho studied so far, in Next |
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Henka movement ebbed in the Aki basho, as there were only 27 nominations,
compared to the average of 33 per basho going in. With 14 of the
27 nominations receiving the voters’ blessings as validated henka, that
percentage was right with the overall average of exactly 50 per
cent. After eight basho of data now, there have been 260 henka
nominations, with 130 of them receiving a majority “yes” vote.
That 50 per cent percentage has held firm for the last two basho now. Eight basho with 130 henka means that the overall henka rate is still holding steady at about five per cent. In other words, a henka occurs in about five per cent of all matches. It should be noted that only six rikishi are at or over this five per cent rate, so that means that if you take out the top ten perpetrators, the remaining men are usually quite pristine with their tachiai. Actually, just taking Kyokushuzan out of the mix would decrease the overall rate to 4.5 per cent – more on him later. The major movement this time was backward – in terms of the fan voting. For the first four basho, the overall voting was consistently around 10 votes per nominated bout. Then, in the following three basho, it |
mushroomed to over 20, and finally over 25
votes per bout in Nagoya. This time, inexplicably, it sank right
back to the 10 vote range. There hasn’t been any change in the
timing of posting the nominated bouts, either on our web site, or on
the Sumo Form and Sumo Mailing List, so I really am at a loss to
explain it. But…if anyone has any ideas, opinions or suggestions
on how the voting may be increased, made easier, etc., please let us
know at fan_liaison-director@sumofan mag.com. As a reminder, the henka data which follows is based only on the bouts which were validated as henka, i.e., those receiving a majority “yes” vote. The leader of the henka parade in Aki was the ailing M11 Jumonji with three nominations – all of which were confirmed by the voting. In the seven previous basho, Jumonji recorded only three henka, but he doubled that total in just one basho here, as he pulled out all the stops to avoid a drop to juryo. He won two of those three matches, but it remains to be seen if his 4-11finish was good enough to stay in makuuchi – probably so. Two struggling joi-jin followed with |
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