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promotion
with his win. When the promotion didn’t come, did I think he was
robbed? Not at all! He only has two basho as ozeki, and
with his ability, he will surely be promoted. This disappointment
should have helped him focus to prevent early losses in Aki. That lesson
and the excitement and expectation that results for the next basho is
something that hard promotion criteria will never give. JL: Despite the original intention behind the formation of the Yokozuna Deliberation Council (YDC) to hold the ranks of ozeki and yokozuna to a higher standard so those rikishi would be worthy ambassadors for Japan, history shows that the current system has actually lowered the standard by allowing the promotion of weak yokozuna. Let’s imagine a world without a YDC, with hard core criteria requiring two consecutive basho with at least 13 wins as the standard from the beginning. In just the last 30 years, we would not have suffered through three miserably weak yokozuna – Wakanohana, Onokuni, and of course, Futahaguro. Some of their exploits as yokozuna: Each with a single 13+ win basho; Wakanohana with 4 kachi-koshi in 11 basho; Onokuni with just six 10+ wins in 23 basho; and Futahaguro with just four 10+ wins in nine basho plus a career-crowning oshitaoshi win over his oyakata’s wife. With such firm criteria, sumo would not now be enduring these legacies. During the same period, every ozeki meeting that standard was eventually promoted anyway, as well as every ozeki with two consecutive yusho. So where’s the higher standard? All that’s been accomplished is the promotion of unworthy candidates. Hard core rules may be “cold-hearted”, but they work. |
Since
Onokuni, the yokozuna situation has improved immensely with hard
core criteria being ‘internally’ adopted by the YDC; but recently there
has been much discussion by them and Kitanoumi Rijicho indicating a
willingness to make exceptions. This will just cause a repeat of
the situation in the 1980s and prior, with yokozuna whose careers come
crashing down right after promotion. Who wants to go through that
again? I do agree that hard core criteria would produce periods with saturated or vacant ozeki and yokozuna ranks but I disagree that the criteria would keep changing as a result. If there are five rikishi skilled enough to win two consecutive yusho, it just means that in each basho, we’d have 10 head-to-head yokozuna bouts. How is that not exciting? Having no yokozuna would make it all the more exciting when an ozeki makes a run. And a six-ozeki run wouldn’t last long because, among other things, it would be a real mathematical challenge for all of them to hold their rank for an extended period, especially if there were two yokozuna. And just to be realistic, periods with far too many or far too few ozeki and/or yokozuna would be few and far between, so let’s rein in the hypotheticals here. With the YDC, shinpan and rijicho changing their jabber with each succeeding basho about what it takes to become ozeki and yokozuna, these ranks are losing their meaning. In light of the bar for promotion being raised and lowered with such unreasonable frequency, even those who are promoted must wonder if they really deserve their rank if they were promoted during a period of leniency. The truth is there can never be any |
perfect promotion system because the level of the competition will always fluctuate, and sometimes a
mediocre ozeki will string two strong basho together, and then crash
and burn after his yokozuna promotion. But with set promotion
rules, when this does happen, any criticism could be easily answered
with three short words: He earned it One final note for now: I am confident that even if hard rules had been used in the past for promotion to sumo’s highest two ranks, the opening ceremonies for the Nagano Winter Olympics would have been just as special. RP: Jesse has correctly acknowledged here that no promotion system – even one with set rules – can be perfect. A promotion committee isn’t perfect either, but at least they have the prerogative to correct mistakes, which is exactly what was done after Futahaguro. Why is this ability to fine tune seen as a faulty inconsistency? And what is so special about 13 wins over two basho? How was 13 wins chosen? Is it a convenient number to eliminate recent yokozuna that have been judged “inferior”? The trouble with applying criteria after the fact is that it uses data that just isn’t present at the time the decision is made. Onokuni had achieved 15-0 yusho/12-3 jun-yusho and was denied promotion. He then achieved 13-2 jun-yusho, and was promoted. The promise and potential appear to be there, but history has now shown us that the potential was not achieved (perhaps as a result of injury). But any criterion needs to consider all its impacts - not just a select few. The 13-win criterion would not have promoted Taiho (13 wins/ Next |
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