<DATE> Contents

SOS - Shinjinrui on Sumo  
Chris Gould
Wrapping up his look at increasing the popularity of sumo, Chris Gould caps a series the NSK would do well to refer to.
Sumo Souvenirs  
Mark Buckton
Souvenirs are a part of every sport and sumo is no different - or is it? A look at collectibles and the downright trashy, the bona fide versus the unproven.
Rikishi of Old  
Joe Kuroda
Joe Kuroda's latest look at times past focuses on former makunouchi man Dewagatake.
Eric Evaluates  
Eric Blair
Eric takes a no-nonsense look at the claims of fixed bouts in the Japanese media.
Rikishi Diary  
Mark Kent
Mark Kent - English pro-wrestler and amateur heavyweight sumotori - takes us through the first month or so of his training and preparation for the various European events lined up in in 2007.
Heya Peek  
Chris Gould
SFM's Chris Gould was in Japan for the Hatsu Basho and popped along to the new Shikoroyama Beya to give SFM an online exclusive peek into sumo's newest heya.
SFM Interview  
Mark Buckton
Mark interviews Mark - Buckton on Kent that is as Mark Kent, the UK's only active heavyweight amateur answers a few questions on his own recent entry into the sport.
Photo Bonanzas  
Sumo Forum stepped in to take the weight off the shoulders of SFM as far as Hatsu went so we could sit back, relax, enjoy the sumo and take a few more select pics you won't see anywhere else.
Hatsu Basho Summary
Lon Howard
Lon wraps the Hatsu Basho and chucks in a few bits on the rush of henka that threatens to sully the good name of at least one foreign ozeki.
Sumo Menko  
Ryan Laughton
Sumo cards of old brought to life by expert collector Ryan Laughton. None of your BBM here.
Haru Ones To Watch
Carolyn Todd
Carolyn ponders and puts fingers to keys on the ones to watch come March and the Haru Basho.
Kimarite Focus  
Mikko Mattila
Mikko's latest look at sumo's kimarite offers unequalled analysis and in depth explanations.
Amateur Angles  
Howard Gilbert
Howard looks at the 'sumo factory' of lore - Nichidai.
Kokugi Konnections
Todd Lambert
Click on Todd's bimonthly focus on three of the best the WWW has to offer.
Fan Debate
Facilitator - Carolyn Todd
Moti Dichne comes back for more and takes on Bradley Sutton on the subject of 'Modernize the heya - yea or nay?'
SFM Cartoons
Benny Loh & Stephen Thompson
In this issue's cartoon bonanza, sit back and sample Benny's artistic offerings.
Sumo Odds & Ends
SFM's interactive elements - as always includes Henka Sightings, Elevator Rikishi and Eternal Banzuke!
Let's Hear From You
What was it that made you a sumo fan? Ryan Laughton - sumo fan and menko expert reveals all.
Readers' Letters  
See what our readers had to say since we last hit your screens.
Sumo Quiz
The Quizmaster
Answer the Qs and win yourself a genuine banzuke.
  beginning, only 11 of them have henka rates over the 2.78% average.  So it is now absolutely true that the men on the top 10 list are responsible for the overall rate being as high as it is.  They really are the cream of the crop.

This means that overall leader Roho (9.15) has henka’d at over three times the average rate.  With superstar Kyokushuzan gone, the top five men starting with Roho are exactly the same as last time. Kotooshu is now at number six and the rest of the top ten shows the same men as before in slightly different positions. Here is the top ten overall list right now, in order of percentage of total bouts henka’d.

Roho
Toyozakura
Hokutoriki
Hakurozan
Jumonji
Kotooshu
Kotomitsuki
Aminishiki
Kotoshogiku
Hakuho
9.15
6.60
6.11
6.00
5.93
5.33
4.67
4.00
3.33
3.13


Kotooshu’s five wins in his five henka in Hatsu have also made him the overall leader in henka win percentage, as he is a perfect eight for eight.  The only other men with perfect scores among active rikishi with at least four henka are Kokkai and Kyokutenho.  The other stars in this category are Roho (11-13), Hokutoriki (7-8) and Aminishiki (5-6).  At the time of his retirement, Kyokushuzan was 15-21.  As for
the henka targets, Miyabiyama becomes more tempting to his opponents with each basho, as two more matadors came calling this time, on top of the three who showed up in Kyushu – and guess what – the Miya-Babe lost all five of those.  That moves him up to second place overall with a target rate of 6.00%.  He’s been hit nine times and has lost eight of those, for a losing percentage of 89%, good for 3rd place among the major targets.  Others who were double targets in Hatsu were Aminishiki and Dejima.  Dejima is now just short of the top ten, in 11th place with a 4.00% target rate.  Here is the overall list of top ten henka targets in order of the percentage of their bouts in which they were henka’d.

Hokutoriki
Miyabiyama
Kasugao
Roho
Kokkai
Kotoshogiku
Tosanoumi
Tamanoshima
Tochinonada
Iwakiyama
8.4
6.00
5.19
4.93
4.67
4.67
4.44
4.14
4.13
4.11


I’ve mentioned Toyonoshima several times before because early in our study he was a favorite target, but after winning all four of those early bouts, he’s off the list.  In fact, in the last five basho, his opponents have received only one nomination, which was voted down by a 5-23 count.  His target rate is now down to 2.96%, far off the top-rankers and barely over the


2.78% average.

As more and more basho are studied, the overall henka win rate is beginning to level out; at 113 wins in 167 henka, it’s now at 68%.  Further, in the two subcategories studied that are based on vote disparity and the total number of votes, there has also been very little change.  In these subcategories, the win rate is segmented out, based on yes-no vote disparities of 2-1, 3-1 and unanimous.  Here are the current numbers:
  
Yes-No
Vote
Disparity
Win %
Any #
Votes
Win %
10+
Votes
2-1
3-1
Unanimous
69
72
78
78
75
89
  
Only three of the 36 nominations drew less than 10 votes, so if that continues, the difference between the ‘Any #’ and ’10 +’ vote categories will gradually diminish, which it did only slightly this time, except for the unanimous category.  Because there are so few unanimous yes votes, those numbers can fluctuate wildly with one or two results in any direction – but it has always been true that when the yes vote was unanimous, the win rate was markedly higher. 

That’s the report on the slippers and sliders this time.  Thanks very much for following along, and see you again in April.  Hang in there, spring’s almost here!
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